Wheat export business the next wildcard?

Corn ExportsSoy ExportsWheat Exports

Wheat exports are tracking projections, but may have the potential to exceed them in the future.  The Black Sea region has been contending with drought conditions that are diminishing their wheat crop potential.  This has surfaced speculation that Russian wheat exports may slip to 15.3 million tons in 2010/2011.  As a result, this could shift additional export business to the United States.  

Soybeans export shipments since last fall have been running above USDA projections.  The pace started to cool early this spring as business shifted to South America, but is now showing signs of picking back up. 

Corn exports have picked up since this spring and have been able to track projections.  The recent uptick in business has been contributed to the unexpected dealings with China.  However, the unknown going forward will be if China will remain a regular buyer of U.S. corn and soybeans.